Sage Sage Building tools to make sense of the future Adam Binksmith Director Zak Miller Member of Technical Staff Jonny Spicer Member of Technical Staff Shoshannah Tekofsky Member of Technical Staff Eli Lifland Founding Advisor Aaron Ho Founding Advisor Misha Yagudin Founding Advisor AI Digest Interactive explainers on AI capabilities and their effects AI 2025 Forecasting Survey Record your predictions for AI capabilities at the end of 2025 AIs are becoming more selfaware Herex27s why that matters Beyond Chat AI Agent Demo Watch an AI agent send emails and shop online in realtime AI Can or Canx27t Quiz yourself on what todayx27s AI can and canx27t do Timeline of AI forecasts What to expect in AI capabilities potential harms and societyx27s response How can AI disrupt elections. Talk to an interactive demo of AI capabilities for voter fraud Compare frontier AI models ChatGPT Claude 3 and Gemini Ultra answer the same questions How fast is AI improving. A visual explainer on the rate and risks of LLM progress Fatebook The fastest way to track your predictions Fatebook The fastest way to track your predictions Fatebook for Slack Track your predictions right where your team works Fatebook for Chrome Instantly make and embed predictions in Google Docs and anywhere else on the web Quantified Intuitions Practice assigning credences to outcomes with a quick feedback loop Pastcasting Predict past events to rapidly practise forecasting The Estimation Game Team up with your friends to play our monthly estimation quiz Calibration Answer trivia questions to calibrate your uncertainty Anki with Uncertainty Turn any flashcard deck into a calibration training tool Sage Future Inc is funded by Open Philanthropy and individual donations and is a 501c3 charity registered in the United States. .